Nigeria’s crude oil production fell in December as the country continued to struggle to meet its full OPEC+ output quota amid operational challenges in its upstream sector.
Crude production dropped to 1.422 million barrels per day in December, down from 1.436 million barrels per day in November, according to figures reported by Nigeria to OPEC and included in the latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR).
By Nigeria’s own accounting, the country failed to reach its 1.5 million barrels per day quota under OPEC+ agreements for the fifth consecutive month. OPEC’s secondary sources, however, provide slightly higher estimates, putting December production at 1.5 million barrels per day, up from 1.491 million barrels per day in November.
Nigeria’s state-owned company, NNPC, reported crude and condensate production of 1.6 million barrels per day for November 2025, a 1.3% increase from October. Unlike OPEC, NNPC includes condensate in its output figures, although condensate is excluded from OPEC+ quotas.
Looking ahead, NNPC plans to intensify collaboration with partners to improve production, maximize infrastructure uptime, and maintain high facility maintenance standards. The company aims to increase oil production to 2 million barrels per day within two years and to 3 million barrels per day by 2030, according to Udy Ntia, NNPC’s Executive Vice President for Upstream.
Production gains have been supported by upstream reforms under President Bola Tinubu, with daily crude and condensate output climbing to 1.7–1.83 million barrels per day and active drilling rigs increasing from 31 in January to 50 by July 2025.